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Syria Framework (International Crisis Group)

(Source: International Crisis Group) REUTERS/Bassam Khabieh Introduction On its current trajectory, and with no military or diplomatic breakthrough on the horizon, the Syrian war will worsen. Four years into a popular uprising that gradually degenerated into civil strife and regional proxy war, the conflict's Syrian protagonists - the regime and its loyalist militias versus the broad spectrum of armed rebel factions and the external political opposition - are too fractious, fragile and heavily invested in their current courses to break with the status quo. They are also, as should be clear by now, incapable of military victory in a war rapidly fuelling the growth of a third category of...

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